Gold Price Update: Gold Surges Past $4,100 as Waller Signals Incoming Rate Cut

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Gold Price Today, Tuesday, November 25, 2025: Gold Rises Above $4,100 After Waller Backs Rate Cut

When I woke up today and checked the markets, the first thing that jumped out at me was the price of gold. It had pushed above $4,100, and that instantly told me something big was happening in the macro world. Gold doesn’t move like a meme coin. When gold jumps, especially to a new level, it’s normally a sign that the entire financial system is reacting to something important.

This time, that “something important” was a comment from Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller. He publicly supported the idea of a rate cut. And just like that, gold took off.

In today’s breakdown, I want to walk you through what happened, why it matters, and what I think it means for us as investors. I’ll also share what I plan to do next and how you can think about gold during times of interest rate uncertainty.

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Why Did Gold Jump Above $4,100 Today?

Gold didn’t just rise today. It broke a key psychological level that many traders had been watching for months. The move was quick, and it was powerful. So what caused it?

The biggest reason is simple: lower interest rates usually push gold prices higher.

Here’s why.

When interest rates drop, the returns on cash and bonds become less attractive. That means investors start looking for “alternative stores of value.” Gold has been one of the oldest and most trusted stores of value for thousands of years. So when rates fall, gold becomes more appealing.

Waller backing a rate cut is basically the Fed hinting that money is about to get cheaper again.

And the market reacted almost instantly.

Why Do Rate Cuts Push Gold Higher?

I want to explain this in a simple way because many investors overcomplicate it.

There are three main reasons:

1. Lower rates weaken the U.S. dollar

If interest rates fall, the U.S. dollar tends to weaken because foreign investors earn less by holding dollar-based assets.

A weaker dollar means gold becomes cheaper for investors in other countries, which boosts demand.

2. Lower rates reduce opportunity cost

When rates are high, holding gold doesn’t seem attractive because gold doesn’t pay interest.

But when rates fall, everything levels out. Gold suddenly looks like a good deal again.

3. Rate cuts signal economic uncertainty

If the Fed has to cut rates, it often means the economy needs help. And when the economy is shaky, investors seek safety.

Gold is the ultimate “safe-haven asset.”

All of this came together today, and that’s why gold surged past $4,100.

The Timeline: How the Market Reacted This Morning

I’ll walk you through how the move unfolded because I was watching it live.

  1. Waller’s comments were released early in the morning.
    He said the economy could benefit from easing and that inflation progress was strong enough to justify a rate cut.

  2. Bond yields reacted instantly.
    The 10-year Treasury yield dropped as investors priced in the news.

  3. The dollar weakened.
    Currencies reacted fast because traders expect lower returns on U.S. bonds.

  4. Gold spiked within minutes.
    At first, it moved slowly from around $4,050 to $4,080.
    Then it surged through $4,100 in a clean breakout.

This wasn’t one of those slow, gentle climbs. It was a reactionary jump based purely on macro news.

Is Gold Entering a New Bull Run?

This is the question many investors are asking.

I personally think we’re seeing the early stages of a multi-year bull cycle for gold. We’ve already been in an upward trend for a while, but for gold to break above $4,100 so quickly tells me that investors are preparing for lower rates, higher liquidity, and more uncertainty.

Gold loves that environment.

To keep it simple:
When the Fed prints and cuts → gold rises.

When inflation is sticky → gold rises.

When the market loses trust in the dollar → gold rises.

We are currently experiencing all three at once.

What I Think Happens Next in the Gold Market

Nobody can predict the future perfectly, but here’s my honest view.

1. Gold could retest $4,100

Breakouts usually pull back a little before continuing higher. So if you see a dip toward $4,070 or $4,050, don’t be surprised.

2. If the Fed confirms a cut, gold could shoot toward $4,200

Markets move ahead of the Fed, so traders will price in the next big move early.

3. Long-term target: $4,500

This number is not crazy. If we see just one or two rate cuts next year, the liquidity in the system increases, and gold historically responds strongly.

4. ETF flows will start to rise

Funds like GLD and other gold-related ETFs have been quiet. That might change now as big players move in.

5. Central banks may buy even more gold

Countries like China, India, Russia, and Turkey have been increasing their gold reserves.

Why?
Because gold is a safe store of value in a world where currencies lose trust.

This trend isn’t slowing down.

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How I Personally See Gold as an Investment

I’ll be honest. Gold is not the fastest-growing investment. It’s not a tech stock. It’s not crypto. It won’t double overnight.

But gold plays a very important role in a balanced portfolio.

Here’s how I think about it:

Gold is insurance.

Not insurance that pays you monthly.
But insurance that protects your wealth during chaos.

When markets crash, gold rises.
When inflation spikes, gold rises.
When the dollar weakens, gold rises.

I don’t need gold to grow quickly.
I need it to protect my money.

That’s why I keep a small but meaningful portion of my portfolio in gold-related assets.

Should You Buy Gold When It's Above $4,100?

This is the question most subscribers will ask.

Here’s my honest answer:
You don’t buy gold for the price. You buy it for protection.

When you buy gold, your goal is not to time the market perfectly. It’s to make sure you have a shield during unpredictable times.

But if you’re thinking about timing, here are my thoughts:

  • Gold might pull back a little.

  • But in the long run, I believe we are still in the early stages of a bigger move.

  • The macro environment strongly supports higher gold prices.

If you think gold will be cheaper in the future, that’s fine.
But if you believe the world is getting more uncertain, gold becomes a defensive asset worth holding.

Other Assets That Move When Gold Moves

Gold rarely moves alone. When gold rises, several related assets also tend to benefit.

Here are a few:

1. Gold mining companies

These stocks can rise even faster than gold because their profits grow with the gold price.

Examples include large miners and junior exploration companies. They are more volatile but offer higher upside.

2. Silver

Silver is like gold’s little brother.
It often moves later, but when it does, it can move even faster.

3. Commodity ETFs

Some funds track gold, silver, or a mix of metals. These are easier for beginners.

4. Safe-haven currencies

Currencies like the Swiss franc and Japanese yen also tend to strengthen when gold rises.

These are all areas I keep my eyes on when gold starts to heat up.

Why Waller’s Comments Matter More Than Usual

You might wonder why a single comment from one Fed member can move gold so strongly. The reason is simple:
Waller is typically seen as a more hawkish policymaker.

That means he usually leans toward higher interest rates.

So when someone like him supports a cut, it tells investors that:

  • The Fed is shifting direction.

  • Inflation is under control.

  • Economic growth is slowing.

  • Rate cuts are now officially on the table.

That’s why the market reacted so fast.

What I Will Be Watching This Week

Whenever gold makes a major move, I track a few key indicators. These help me know if the trend is strengthening or weakening.

1. Treasury yields

Lower yields → higher gold.

2. Dollar strength

Weaker dollar → higher gold.

3. Fed comments

If more Fed members hint at cuts, gold could break new highs.

4. ETF inflows

If big funds start buying again, it confirms the trend.

5. Central bank activity

They have become one of the biggest buyers of gold globally.

If all these factors continue to align, I believe $4,200 could come sooner than people expect.

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The Big Picture: What This Means for Us as Investors

I always tell my subscribers that investing is about understanding cycles.
Not chasing hype.
Not reacting emotionally.
Not making decisions because of fear.

Right now, we are entering a phase where:

  • The economy might slow

  • The Fed is preparing to cut

  • The dollar may weaken

  • Liquidity may rise

  • Safe-haven assets become more valuable

Gold is one of the biggest winners in this type of environment.

We don’t need to guess.
We just need to observe what the market is telling us.

Final Takeaways

Let me wrap it up clearly and simply.

Here’s what I want you to remember:

1. Gold rising above $4,100 is a major signal

It shows investors expect lower rates and more uncertainty.

2. Rate cuts are like fuel for gold

If Waller is right, the next few months could see even higher prices.

3. This could be the start of a longer bull run

Gold tends to run for years, not weeks.

4. Don’t rush, but stay prepared

Small dips are normal, and they’re often buying opportunities.

5. Gold is long-term protection

Even if the price cools, gold still plays an important role in defending your wealth.

As for me, I’m holding on to my gold positions. I’m not chasing, and I’m not panic buying. I’m simply staying steady and watching the macro signals very closely.

If the Fed confirms a rate cut, I believe gold will push even higher.

Stay calm, stay informed, and stay invested with a clear mind.

[Live Life Grow Wealth]

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DISCLAIMER

I make no representations, warranties, or guarantees, whether expressed or implied, that the content provided is accurate, complete, or up-to-date. Past performance is not indicative nor a guarantee of future returns.

I am an individual content creator and not regulated or licensed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) as I do not provide investment services.

All forms of investments carry risks, including the risk of losing your entire invested amount. Such activities may not be suitable for everyone. You are strongly encouraged to seek advice from a professional financial advisor if you have any doubts or concerns.